Friday, 3 October 2025

South Africa's Automotive Industry: Challenges and Opportunities Ahead

South Africa's Automotive Industry: Challenges and Opportunities Ahead

GQEBERHA – The South African automotive industry, a cornerstone of the nation’s manufacturing landscape, gathered this week to celebrate a significant milestone while charting a deliberate course through a period of global transition.

At the fourth South African Auto Week, naamsa: The Automotive Business Council commemorated its 90th anniversary, reflecting on a legacy of partnership and looking ahead to the challenges and opportunities presented by the global shift to new energy vehicles.

The acting Premier, Mlungisi Mvoko, also serving as the event’s ambassador, opened the proceedings by acknowledging the vital role of media collaboration and the growth of the gathering itself. The event served as a platform to recognise naamsa’s nine-decade journey, which began in this very city before its offices moved to Pretoria in 1983.

The association was lauded for its consistent work in shaping policy, driving innovation, and integrating the domestic industry into international value chains. Today, representing 56 brands, naamsa continues to operate on the principles of free enterprise and collective advancement for its members.

The annual industry report presented a picture of a sector demonstrating resilience amid headwinds. For the first time since the pandemic-related disruptions of 2020, the sector experienced a modest contraction in 2024. The total export value of vehicles and automotive components saw a decrease of R 2-billion, settling at R 268,8-billion, down from the previous year’s record of R 270,8-billion.

Despite this dip, automotive exports still constituted a substantial 40,7% of South Africa’s total merchandise exports for the year. In terms of volume, vehicle exports declined to 390 844 units from 399 809 units in 2023.

A notable bright spot emerged in the components sector, where export value increased from R 203,9 billion in 2023 to a record R 25,4-billion in 2024, a shift attributed to a changing mix of vehicles being exported. The industry also successfully expanded its global footprint, now sending products to 155 countries, up from 148 in 2023, with export value more than doubling to 39 of those nations.

The automotive sector’s role as a primary driver of South Africa’s manufacturing output remains undisputed. In 2024, vehicle and component manufacturing contributed 2,6% to the domestic manufacturing output, with the broader automotive industry contributing 5,2% to the national GDP. Investments from original equipment manufacturers and their suppliers amounted to R 10,25-billion.

A long-term perspective underscores the sector’s enduring impact. From 1995 to 2024, over 6,4-million vehicles, with a cumulative export value of R 1,95-trillion, have been shipped from South African shores. International trade agreements, particularly with the European Union and the United Kingdom, continue to be fundamental, accounting for 75,7% of exports in 2024, meaning three out of every four exported vehicles were destined for these regions.

The current year presents a complex operating environment. Geopolitical challenges, including new US import tariffs, have led to the loss of an estimated 25 000 vehicle orders from that market. Despite this, vehicle exports for the first half of 2025 were 3% ahead of the same period in 2024, even as overall production decreased by 2,2%. Domestically, new vehicle sales showed a strong increase of 14% for the first six months, a trend partly driven by a 69% influx of competitively priced imported vehicles.

A subsequent presentation struck a more cautious note, revealing that South Africa’s share of global vehicle production decreased from 0,67% in 2023 to 0,65% in 2024. This places the government’s 2035 target of achieving a 1% global market share under pressure. A central concern raised was the urgent need to transition towards electric vehicle production, as key export markets like the EU and UK move to ban new internal combustion engine vehicle sales by 2035. While some local manufacturers produce hybrid vehicles, none currently assemble battery electric vehicles domestically.


“The transition to new energy vehicles must be tailormade for a South African context and cannot be a carbon copy of what other countries and regions have done,” Neale Hill, CEO of Ford South Africa stated. He suggested that dramatic overhaul is not needed, but rather selective, targeted policies to support specific parts of the value chain where South Africa can be competitive.

The presentation concluded by highlighting a significant potential advantage. Africa, and South Africa in particular, holds vast mineral resources critical for the EV revolution, including 85% of the world’s manganese and 80% of its platinum. A clear call was made for immediate and structured collaboration between government and industry to develop a concrete framework, positioning the country to become a key player in the global EV value chain and secure the future of the automotive industry and its workforce.

“We are very concerned that our industry is falling behind Africa’s progressive automotive and industrial policy measures,” Hill warned. He concluded that the decisions taken now will fundamentally shape the future of vehicle manufacturing in South Africa, impacting its economic value, employment, and skills base. “We must act now before it is too late,” he said.



Adding to the forward-looking dialogue, Mike Whitfield, CEO of Stellantis South Africa, reflecting on the sector’s foundations, emphasised that its strength is rooted in historical cooperation between government, industry, and labour. He pointed to a major strategic development: the confirmation that Stellantis is proceeding with an investment in South Africa, affirming the country’s role as a strategic manufacturing base within the company’s global network.

This sentiment was echoed in a significant international achievement for the industry. naamsa announced that its CEO, Mikel Mabasa, has been nominated to serve as a permanent member of the International Organization of Automobile Manufacturers (OICA). Described as a “United Nations Security Council for the automotive industry globally,” this position will enable South Africa to help shape the global automotive trajectory and ensure the African continent is not left behind in critical conversations about the future of mobility.

As the week’s discussions concluded, the message from Gqeberha was clear. The South African automotive industry, built on nine decades of collaboration and adaptation, stands at a pivotal moment. The path forward requires agility, policy certainty, and a united effort to harness its inherent strengths—from its deep manufacturing expertise to its mineral wealth—to navigate the electric future and secure its position as a global automotive player.

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